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From the siege of cities to"guerrilla warfare".. How is the Ukraine war going

From the siege of cities to"guerrilla warfare".. How is the Ukraine war going


 From the siege of cities to"guerrilla warfare".. How is the Ukraine war going


As the Russian military operation in Ukraine enters its second week, despite the Russian military superiority in equipment and equipment, several questions are raised about the Russian military plan and the timetable set for ending that war.


There is speculation about the reasons for the slow pace of the Russian offensive, and whether the Russians avoided the scenario of storming the cities for fear of street war, only besieging them to cut off supplies and pressure on the Kiev regime until its overthrow


Or has the attack turned into a scenario of war of attrition and gangs from the Ukrainian side, which is avoided by the Russians and delayed the resolution of this military attack


"Going according to plan"

Asked about the conduct of Russian military operations, Russian President Vladimir Putin himself answered on Thursday, saying that "the special military operation in Ukraine is proceeding according to plan and in full compliance with the schedule".


Putin, in a speech to the Russian people, hinted that a "guerrilla war" on the Ukrainian side.


"There are mercenaries fighting in the ranks of the Ukrainian forces and acting in the ways of terrorist gangs, "he says, pointing out that"nationalists in Ukraine are pushing residents of apartment buildings to the center of the buildings, spreading weapons on the lower and upper floors, and this is what the Nazis were doing".


Putin also accused Ukrainian nationalists of holding thousands of students hostage, vowing that all families of soldiers killed in combat in defense of their homeland would be given money and monthly payments.


Tactic of Ukraine

"The Ukrainians are following the tactic of delaying combat, which makes the Russian forces advance and enter into a guerrilla war,"says military analyst Khalil al-Helou.


"The Russians did not expect Ukrainian resistance to occur in this way, and they are using the tactic of asymmetric warfare, which means using modest tools and weapons to harm Russian forces, "he told Sky News .


"The Russians are trying to achieve a quick and decisive victory to sit at the negotiating table in an improved situation, but this has not happened so far, we have not seen Russian control of the capital Kiev nor a tight grip on it, as during the entry of Russian forces into the city of Kharkiv was subjected to guerrilla warfare and ambushes by Ukrainians,"he said.


Complex and amazing process

Other Western interpretations of the Russian military operation in Ukraine and its timeline say that the Russian offensive is proceeding according to Russian military rules and planning.


British defence sources add that the Russian military attack"followed Russian rules."


Moscow has also chosen to use sweeping force and multi-axis attack from land, sea and air with mobile forces as troops move from the north, south and East and simultaneously attack ten Ukrainian regions.


Military analysts say Putin's tactic was to hit targets hard and fast with missiles and intense bombardment, while lighter vehicles were chosen for ground attack, as the speed of action was crucial to Russian strategy.


According to the British newspaper "The Guardian", the Russian army began the war by attacking military targets in Ukraine, paving the way for ground forces to move.


Analysts say the Russian Ground Forces were very mobile and had a lot of firepower so they could quickly attack targets and move forward.


Justin Crump, Chief Executive of spyline intelligence and geopolitical risk, said: "every Russian tactical battalion is made up of about a thousand soldiers, which makes it much faster to capture territory.


The Pentagon says Russia's military action in Ukraine suggests its forces are taking bold steps to seize key cities before Kiev, where they hope to isolate and eventually decapitate the Western-backed government and install a new pro-Moscow leadership.


As the Russian war plan was based on the use of air strikes, ballistic missiles and tanks to destroy several targets, Russian forces opened a three-front campaign as troops and heavy weapons moved from the north, south and East, calling the military operation an "early offensive".


Dick Townsend, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Europe and NATO in the Obama administration, told The Washington Post, "the Russian military operation is amazing in its complexity, and represents the culmination of large-scale planning and training going back years.


The unification of air power, naval operations and ground combat, known in military parlance as "Combined Arms," is a seismic step beyond the 2008 Russian offensive against Georgia.


"This represents a coordinated effort from several axes, and a competent Russian conventional army that is proceeding in a way that we have never seen before,"the US official said.


Russian tactic

Defence minister Ben Wallace painted a"bleak" picture of Russia's military tactics in Ukraine.


Wallace warned on Thursday that things would deteriorate further in the Ukraine war, which has entered its second week.


Britain's defence minister highlighted Moscow's military doctrine, saying its forces would likely go on to besiege and bomb key cities indiscriminately before seizing what was left.


"Russian forces will strike cities mercilessly, we have seen this tactic in Chechnya before,"he says.


"But the problem with Ukraine is that a much larger area than countries like France and Germany combined, with a population of 44 million, would prolong the conflict and insurgency in Ukraine and would face some sort of insurgency even if it controlled its territory, similar to what happened with the Soviet Union in Afghanistan and the West in Iraq after 2003," he said.


Siege of cities

Other military experts say the Russian-Ukrainian war is not going as planned, with Moscow facing stronger-than-expected armed resistance and Western sanctions.


"Russia may have deliberately restricted its campaign at the beginning of the war, expecting much less resistance than they found, and may continue to use those tactics to tire out resistance,"says Richard Sherriff, a former deputy NATO military commander.


But the most likely scenario, according to Sherif, is that Russia uses a greater force to go deeper into Ukraine, with the opportunity to blockade cities or use heavy weapons against them, according to the US "Wall Street Journal".


"The Ukrainian forces have benefited from their military assets in the face of a larger and more sophisticated adversary, and the slow progress made by Russia is the best proof of the resolve of the Ukrainian army," he said, stressing that morale is an influential factor and Ukrainians have moral strength.

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